Thursday, March 27, 2008

Fw: McCain an idiot and itaq in chaos

AMY GOODMAN: Republican presidential candidate Senator John McCain might have attracted some ridicule last week when he falsely insisted Iran is training and supplying al-Qaeda in Iraq. McCain corrected himself after independent Senator Joseph Lieberman stepped in and whispered in his ear.

    SEN. JOHN McCAIN: Well, it's common knowledge and has been reported in the media that al-Qaeda is going back into Iran and receiving training and are coming back into Iraq from Iran. That's well known. And it's unfortunate. So I believe that we are succeeding in Iraq. The situation is dramatically improved. But I also want to emphasize time and again al-Qaeda is on the run, but they are not defeated.

    SEN. JOSEPH LIEBERMAN: [whispering] You said that the Iranians were training al-Qaeda. I think you meant they're training in extremist terrorism.

    SEN. JOHN McCAIN: I'm sorry, the Iranians are training extremists, not al-Qaeda, not al-Qaeda. I'm sorry.


AMY GOODMAN: Senator McCain made the comment in Jordan, while on a trip to the Middle East last week. While the media focused on the gaffe, there has been little serious analysis of McCain's foreign policy. In fact, when it comes to the Middle East and establishing US power in the world, McCain might even be more in line with neoconservative thinking than President Bush. That's the argument in investigative reporter Robert Dreyfuss's latest article in The Nation magazine. It's called "Hothead McCain." It outlines the Republican presidential candidate's foreign policy vision.

Robert Dreyfuss joins us now from Washington, D.C. Welcome to Democracy Now!

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Thank you so much, Amy. It's really great to be here.

AMY GOODMAN: It's good to have you with us. You cite Brookings Institution analyst Ivo Daalder as saying, quote, "If you thought George Bush was bad when it comes to the use of military force, wait 'til you see John McCain." Can you explain?

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Well, what I did in putting this piece together was look at McCain's own writing and speeches, his article in Foreign Affairs, and I spoke to a number of his advisers, including Randy Scheunemann, who is his chief foreign policy strategist. I spoke to John Bolton. I spoke to Jim Woolsey. I spoke to a number of people who are neoconservative in thought who have now clustered around the McCain campaign and see his effort to become president as a way for them—that is, for the neoconservatives—to return to the position of power they had in the first Bush administration from 2001 to 2005.

McCain has an instinctive preference for using military power to solve problems overseas. And when you couple that with a kind of hotheaded temperament, with a kind of arrogance and really a tendency to fly off the handle, I think we have a lot to fear, if he were ever to have his finger on the button, because he's a man who I think would try to solve a lot of the very delicate foreign policy problems that we have around the world by a show of force. And, of course, you start with Iran in that context, but I think you could include many other problems, as well.

AMY GOODMAN: You talk about—or John McCain talks about "rogue state rollback." Explain.

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Well, this is a theory that he developed way back in the 1990s, and he began speaking about it probably around '96 or '97, but it crystallized in 1999 in a famous speech that he gave, where he talked about the need to look around the world and figure out these states, and you can make up the list as easily as I. At that time, it would have been Iraq, Iran, Syria, Cuba, various countries in Asia and Africa that were under various kinds of rebellion, whether it was Somalia or perhaps Burma, perhaps Zimbabwe. I mean, a lot of countries were being put in the category of rogue states. Some of them were on the State Department list of countries that supported terrorism.

McCain looked around the world, and he said, OK, our job is basically to force regime change in all of these countries. And he signed on early to the issue of going into Iraq and forcing a regime change there, long before anybody really had any kind of concerns about al-Qaeda, long before Iraq's connection to terrorism seemed important. It was simply a principle that any state that didn't conform to an American view of democracy was liable to be rolled over or rolled back, in McCain's view.

Many of his advisers, including Randy Scheunemann, who's now running his foreign policy task force, were engaged in that. Randy was then a chief staffer for Trent Lott. He wrote the Iraq Liberation Act that the neoconservatives and Ahmed Chalabi championed and pushed through Congress. He, Scheunemann, founded the Committee for the Liberation of Iraq in 2002 with White House support. He was also a founder of the Project for a New American Century, which was the sort of ad hoc think tank that the neocons put together. All of this is a sign of—and the fact that McCain would name him as his chief adviser—that McCain, in a way that Bush never did, is a true neocon.

He is someone who in his soul believes in the use of American military power, and as he said in his rollback speech, not just to deal with emergent threats to the United States, but even to enforce the prevalence of what he called American values—that's a codeword for democracy—so that countries whose internal functioning—let's say Russia today, under Putin and Medvedev—that countries like Russia that don't seem as democratic as we like would then become ostracized or sanctioned or subject to various kinds of hostile, both political and military, sanctions. So this is what I find extremely troubling about McCain.

And if you look at his broad policies that he's outlined, he has suggested point blank that we're in a long-term, almost unending struggle with al-Qaeda and various other forms of Islamism. And as a result, he wants to create a whole new set of institutions to deal with those. One of those institutions would be what he calls the League of Democracies, which is basically a way of short-circuiting the UN, where Russia and China, in particular, but also various non-aligned countries often stand up to the United States.

Also, he wants to create a new much more aggressive covert operations team. He says he wants to model it on the old Office of Strategic Services, the World War II era OSS, and to create this out of the CIA but include into it psychological warfare specialists, covert operations people, people who specialize in advertising and propaganda, and a whole bunch of other kind of—a wide range of these kind of covert operators, who would then form a new agency that would be designed to fight the war on terrorism overseas and to deal with rogue states and other troubling actors that we—or McCain decides he happens not to like at that moment.

AMY GOODMAN: And kick Russia out of the G8?

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Yeah. And that's a really important issue. I mean, his attitude toward Russia seems not to be based on any explicit Russian threat to the United States, but simply the fact that he doesn't like the way Russia operates internally. So he's said we're going to expand NATO to include a number of former states in the Russian space—that is, former Soviet republics, notably including Georgia—and he wants to include not only Georgia in NATO, but some of Georgia's rebellious provinces, which is a direct affront to Russia. He's a hardliner on Kosovo. He says he doesn't care what Putin thinks about us putting air defense system missiles in Eastern Europe. He wants to kick Russia out of the G8. And all of this would obviously create much more hostile relations between Washington and Moscow, and that makes it impossible to solve the biggest problem that we face: namely, how to deal with Iran's nuclear program.

If we're ever going to get a deal with Iran, if we're ever going to have some sort of diplomatic solution to Iran, which McCain says he wants, it's literally impossible if you don't get the Russians on board. If you can't get a deal with Russia to approach Iran and try to negotiate a peaceful resolution to their nuclear program, then the Russians will simply stand back and say, OK, it's your problem. And that would almost guarantee that McCain would face the choice of having to either attack Iran or to accept Iran having a nuclear bomb at some point in the period in his eight-year term as president. So the idea that you can isolate Russia in that way and take this aggressive anti-Moscow strategy means that you're not going to get Russian cooperation on key problems like Iran and like other problems in the Middle East and Afghanistan that we're going to need their help on.

AMY GOODMAN: We're talking to Robert Dreyfuss, investigative reporter, contributing editor to The Nation magazine. His latest piece is called "Hothead McCain." I want to talk more about McCain's advisers in a minute.

[break]

AMY GOODMAN: We're talking to Robert Dreyfuss, investigative reporter, contributing editor at The Nation magazine. His latest piece is called "Hothead McCain." McCain famously said that US forces might end up staying in Iraq for 100 years. What role did John McCain play in the surge and in shaping, if he did, any part of President Bush's policy in Iraq, the war?

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Oh, I would say that of all the politicians in the United States, McCain was number one in a crucial moment, when the President, President Bush, had to decide whether to accept the Baker-Hamilton report, which called for phasing out US combat forces over a period of sixteen months or alternatively escalating the war. And at that time, McCain was the number one voice in calling for an escalation. He had traveled to Iraq. He had said we need more troops. I believe he was calling for at least 50,000 troops. He worked closely along with Senator Lieberman, who's now his traveling companion. McCain and Lieberman spoke at the American Enterprise Institute and worked closely with Robert and Frederick Kagan, who—Frederick Kagan, in particular, who is at AEI and was the author of the report that led to the surge and was brought into the administration by Vice President Cheney, who went over to AEI and consulted with them. It was that team—Kagan, McCain, Lieberman and Cheney—who convinced the President to go with the escalation a year ago in January.

And McCain was not only advocating the surge, but really pushing, and is today pushing, for a long-term presence by the United States in Iraq, using Iraq as an aircraft carrier to support American power throughout the Persian Gulf and the Middle East and Central Asia. And his advisers told me so. When I spoke to Randy Scheunemann at length, he said, in fact, yes, we want to stay in Iraq for a long time, not just to stabilize Iraq, but because we may have to deal with many threats from the region. And of course you have to include Iran as among the possible threats that we'd have to deal with, according to McCain.

So I would say that McCain and the surge are almost identical, and it's McCain who we have to thank for the fact that two years ago we didn't start withdrawing from Iraq, but in fact escalated to the point where the next president will have probably 130,000 troops on the ground when he or she takes office.

AMY GOODMAN: And the others in the neocon circle, the advisers, like, for example, Bill Kristol, like Max Boot, tell us about their involvement.

ROBERT DREYFUSS: You know, it's very interesting, Amy. If you look at the list of people who say they're advising the McCain camp, you find a broad range of people. You find people like Henry Kissinger, Brent Scowcroft, Larry Eagleburger. These are the traditional kind of Nixon-era realists, many of whom certainly wouldn't be considered liberals, but who certainly are realists. But when you look at McCain's positions, his views on things, you don't find any of the influence of people like Eagleburger and Scowcroft.

What you see instead is that the rest of McCain's advisers, and you named several of them—James Woolsey, the former CIA director, who has been traveling and campaigning with McCain and who I interviewed for this piece; Bill Kristol, who's very close to McCain for probably a decade and has been kind of an angel sitting on his shoulder and whispering in his ear all that time; people like Scheunemann; people like Max Boot; Ralph Peters; there's a long list of people who have joined the McCain advisory team—and it's these people whom McCain listens to when it comes to foreign policy. He certainly hasn't expressed anything in any foreign policy area that you would identify with the Republican realist camp. He's much closer to the neocons.

And he seems to be, as I said earlier, the true neocon himself, someone who, after early in his career in the '80s being kind of suspicious about some foreign interventions that happened at that time, at the end of the Cold War, when the Soviet Union collapsed, McCain seemed to have felt unburdened, like now American power can express itself. And that's when he attached himself to the neoconservative vision that America, as the sole superpower, could throw its weight around, could remake the world in its own image and that there would be no effective opposition to it.

When I look at McCain, though, I have to say, I go back to Vietnam. This is a man whose father and grandfather were extremely conservative, even rightwing admirals, who served in Vietnam until he was shot down and held as a POW, conducting air raid missions, dropping napalm on Hanoi and other cities in North Vietnam, who learned from that and became convinced that American military power, if it's constrained by politics, was unable to win that war. And so, he took out of Vietnam not the lesson that we shouldn't get into land wars in Asia or that fighting guerrilla counterinsurgency efforts might not be the task that America's military is most suited for; what he learned in Vietnam is that we need to take the gloves off, that the politicians need to get out of the way and let the military do its job.

And that's precisely the message that he's adopted in approaching Iraq. I think to this day, McCain thinks that the Vietnam War could have been won if we had just stayed another five or ten or fifteen years, and he seems exactly prepared to do that in Iraq, despite all evidence to the contrary that we can't do anything in Iraq other than sit on a very ugly stalemate that, you know, continues to blow up and flare into violence.

AMY GOODMAN: Robert Dreyfuss, you got your title, "Hothead McCain," from a Republican senator. You're quoting Republican Senator Thad Cochran, who said, "The thought of his being President sends a cold chill down my spine. He is erratic. He is hotheaded. He loses his temper, and he worries me."

ROBERT DREYFUSS: Yes, I use that quote, and it says immediately after that that shortly after saying that, Thad Cochran endorsed McCain. So it's clear that the Republicans are gathering around their leader, despite the fact that many senators, not just Cochran, but many Republican senators view McCain with alarm and not because he's some sort of closet liberal—it's true that on some domestic issues he lined up with some Senate liberals—but on foreign policy, they're are scared of him. And on a personal level, McCain has had a tendency over the years—this is so well known on Capitol Hill—to erupt, to explode, to scream and yell at his colleagues in the Republican caucus, in closed-door meetings behind the scenes, and sometimes even in public. So he has scared a lot of his colleagues, who I'm sure are supporting him, like Cochran did, out of party loyalty, but who've said, as Cochran did, that they're extremely concerned about his temper and his apparent willingness to explode.

And I've met McCain up close. I rode around the bus with him nine years ago when he was campaigning in New Hampshire. I found him scary up close. I think when you see him two feet away, he looks like somebody whose head could explode. He's got a very barely controlled anger underneath his sort of calm demeanor that he seems to almost grit his teeth to keep inside. And I found him very scary personally. And I'm always shocked, I'm always stunned, when media who cover McCain don't bring that across. He's not a jolly fellow. He's not somebody who you want to sit down and have beers with, where I could see people think that about President Bush—he's kind of an amiable dunce, as someone said about an earlier president. McCain is not somebody I want to have a beer with. I think he's a really scary guy.

AMY GOODMAN: Well, we'll leave it there, Robert Dreyfuss, investigative reporter, contributing editor at The Nation magazine. His book is called Devil's Game: How the United States Helped Unleash Fundamentalist Islam.


 

Guest:

Patrick Cockburn, Iraq correspondent for the London Independent. His latest book is Muqtada: Muqtada al-Sadr, the Shia Revival and the Struggle for Iraq. He has covered the invasion and occupation from the ground in Iraq for the past five years. His previous book is The Occupation: War and Resistance in Iraq.

Rush Transcript

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JUAN GONZALEZ: "A new civil war is threatening to explode in Iraq as American-backed Iraqi government forces fight Shia militiamen for control of Basra and parts of Baghdad. Heavy fighting engulfed Iraq's two largest cities and spread to other towns yesterday [as] the Iraqi Prime Minister, Nouri al-Maliki, gave fighters of the Mehdi Army, led by the radical cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, 72 hours to surrender their weapons."

Those are the opening lines to a report in today's edition of the Independent of London written by Patrick Cockburn, the paper's Iraq correspondent.

The article goes on to state, "The gun battles between soldiers and militiamen, who are all Shia Muslims, show that Iraq's majority Shia community […] is splitting apart for the first time. Sadr's followers believe the government is trying to eliminate them before elections in southern Iraq later this year, which they are expected to win."

Patrick Cockburn has been covering Iraq since 1977. Seymour Hersh has described Cockburn as "quite simply, the best Western journalist at work in Iraq today." His book The Occupation: War and Resistance in Iraq was short-listed for a National Book Critics Circle Award last year. His new book comes out next week. It is titled Muqtada: Muqtada al-Sadr, the Shia Revival and the Struggle for Iraq. Patrick Cockburn joins us in London.

Welcome to Democracy Now!

PATRICK COCKBURN: Thank you.

JUAN GONZALEZ: The fighting that has erupted in the last few days, could you tell us your sense of what is at stake here?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Well, the Iraqi government has decided and has surprised everybody by deciding to send its troops into Basra. Ostensibly, they're saying it's to clean up criminal elements in Basra; in reality, it seems an attack on the Mahdi Army, and it's in alliance with militias that are friendly to the Iraqi government. The Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's demand that the fighters of the Mahdi Army give up their weapons in seventy-two hours, I think it's extremely unlikely that this will happen. Saddam couldn't disarm Iraq. It's not likely that Maliki will succeed in doing so.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Now the—obviously, for more than a year now, we've heard of the ceasefire that Muqtada al-Sadr had declared. Why did he initially declare the ceasefire, and to what degree is your sense that this is the beginning of the end of that, if you think it is?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Yeah, the ceasefire is very important, and everybody, including US commanders, admit this was one of the reasons why there's been something of a fall in violence in Iraq, though not—maybe it's been exaggerated. I think he declared the ceasefire for two reasons: one, he wanted to clean up the Mahdi Army, which was seen as Sunni, as really a large death squad—it was an umbrella organization for criminals—so he wanted to regain control of it; secondly, he didn't want to fight a military, direct military confrontation with US forces. He thought he'd lose in those circumstances. So that's why he declared the ceasefire last August and renewed it in February.

He wanted also to get back political popularity. I mean, this is the most popular figure among the Shia masses, but he was beginning to lose it because of the—the Mahdi Army was running rackets and seen as becoming increasingly oppressive.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Now, you've reported that his call for civil disobedience across Iraq in protest of the government's latest moves, but in one of your articles you say a civil disobedience in Iraq is quite different than here in the United States we might be accustomed to.

PATRICK COCKBURN: Sure, yeah. I mean, the thing in Iraq is that pretty—about everybody has a gun. So you have civil disobedience being protest marches, but if anybody—but all the people who take part, although some they have guns, or if they don't have them with them they have immediate access to firearms—so it's much, much closer to real fighting than civil disobedience would be in America or in Britain.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Now, what's the level of British and US troop involvement in this latest offensive? And why should they be involved at all, if supposedly the south increasingly has come under direct Iraqi government and Iraqi military control?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Yeah, it's a very good question and, I think, goes to the heart of the matter. I mean, the answer is that not much happens in the Iraqi army that isn't directed by the United States. I mean, the Ministry of Defense is at least partially under American control in Baghdad, intelligence also. So I think when the US says, oh, we have nothing to do with it, I think that this really isn't true. First of all, militarily, there are helicopters, there are aircraft there. We've had reports this morning of an air strike in a city called Hilla, which is mostly Shia, southwest of Baghdad, in which sixty people have been killed and wounded, which is part of the present turmoil. There are helicopters and aircraft overhead in Basra. So there is involvement. And it certainly wouldn't have—this present offensive wouldn't have taken place unless the US military commanders had okayed it.

JUAN GONZALEZ: And to what degree is the possibility now—obviously, for the first few years the discussion was: Was there a civil war in Iraq between Sunni and Shia? But now the issue can quite clearly become: Is there a civil war among the Shia themselves? To what degree do you think the United States is hoping to be able to stamp out Muqtada al-Sadr and the Mahdi Army through this offensive?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Well, you know, they've always been very—the US has always been very hostile to Muqtada, and this came from the very beginning of 2003. And then, when Jerry Bremer was US viceroy in Iraq, there was an extraordinary degree of sort of venom and demonization of Muqtada, describing him as Hitler and so forth, and curiously, also an underestimation of him, because while at one time—moment they'd say that he was like Hitler, at another moment Bremer was just trying to arrest him and thinking there would be no reaction. So, there's always been extreme hostility on the part of the US, mainly, I think, because Muqtada is the most important leader on the Shia side who's consistently called for an end to the US occupation, for a US withdrawal, and also maybe because he's a cleric, he wears a black turban. So in many minds of many American politicians, maybe he looks alarmingly like a younger version of Ayatollah Khomeini. But I think the main thing they have against him is that he wants the US to withdraw.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Now, the southern part of Iraq obviously has the bulk of the production of oil. I think about 1.5 million barrels a day are coming out of the area around Basra. To what extent is this latest battle having an impact on the production of oil, or to what degree is it a battle over who's going to control that oil?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Well, it's already having a massive impact on the export of oil, because one of the main pipelines was blown up overnight. So, you know, this is—if there's a battle in Basra, then the Mahdi Army can in fact stop most of Iraq's oil production by simply blowing the pipeline and preventing anybody repairing it. They're also in a very strategic position, because the main US supply lines between Kuwait and Baghdad go just to the west of Basra , so they could start attacking the convoys there. So they're in a very strong position.

I mean, there's a slightly different question, which I think you're hinting at there, which is how much is it a fight over oil? Well, in Basra, yes, I mean, the money comes from various ways of diverting oil, of getting your hands on oil at cheap prices. You know, it's a pretty corrupt place. A friend of mine the other day, a business—Iraqi businessman, had a container come in at Umm Qasr port, which is just south of Basra. I remember he was telling me that transport—he's sending up to Kurdistan in the north, a city called Arbil. Transport to Arbil cost him $500, and he spent $3,000 in bribes. And that's kind of par for the course.

Of course, also you have oil diverted into tankers, and these are major sources of revenues for all the militias. But it's not just the Mahdi Army. It's in Baghdad, you have exactly the same. You know, where the regular army controls a gas station, they're always diverting supplies. Somehow it runs out of gas in a couple of hours, but everybody waiting in the long queues knows that the oil has been diverted into the black market.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Patrick Cockburn, the other aspect of Basra and the south obviously was that the British had supposedly successfully managed to pull out of the main population areas, but now we're having—there's one, at least one, retired US general, Jack Keane, has urged the British to reconsider their withdrawal from Basra. What does this suggest for the long-term Bush administration strategy of handing over to the Iraqi army the pacifying and the control of the country?

PATRICK COCKBURN: Yeah, I mean, I think that there's—I mean, first of all, the British aren't going to do that, because they had a very rough time in Basra. And in some ways, the British position is worse in Basra than the Americans in—American army in Baghdad. I mean, a British military intelligence officer was saying to me, you know, the problem in Basra is we had no friends. Basically, nobody likes us there. Now, in Baghdad, the occupation is not popular, but I think it's fair to say at the moment, after all the slaughter we had—3,000 people killed every month in 2006—that Sunni and Shia in Baghdad hate and fear each other more than they hate and fear the USA Army—I mean, not that they particularly like them. But if you're, let's say, a Sunni in Baghdad and somebody kicks your door in at 3:00 in the morning, you'd probably prefer it to be an American soldier, in which case you might survive, rather than the Iraqi police commanders who are all Shia, in which case you're likely to have a very unpleasant death. So—but going back to Basra, the British don't want to move in. They had a rough time, and they also think the militias will unite against them if they try to do so.

JUAN GONZALEZ: And you've been to Iraq numerous times. Here in the United States, we're hearing more and more, obviously, especially in the presidential campaign—John McCain, repeatedly, the Republican candidate, repeatedly saying how the surge is working, the casualties are down, the United States is, quote, "winning" in Iraq. Your sense, from all of your visits and your reporting there, as to this analysis or this view of the surge or the escalation of the war?

PATRICK COCKBURN: You know, I have a sinking feeling in my stomach when I hear things like that. And I was in Baghdad when McCain was there. You know, people say to me, "Are things getting better in Iraq?" And, you know, in one sense, you could say they are, because a year ago we were having, as I said earlier, 3,000 civilians slaughtered, tortured to death every month. This month, we're probably going to have 1,500, 1,600 civilians killed. So, you know, in a sense, things have got better. We've gone from 3,000 to 1,600. But, you know, we've gone from 100 percent bloodbath to 50 percent bloodbath, but it's still a bloodbath, so I think it's really ludicrous for Vice President Cheney or Senator McCain to say, you know, we're on the verge of victory, things are good.

And then there are, you know, those television—there was famous television of McCain in Shorja market in Baghdad last year saying American people aren't being told the truth about Iraq. Now, very noticeably, he didn't go back to Shorja market when he visited a couple of weeks ago, and one of the reasons might be that his security advisers would say, "Don't go," because the market is controlled by the Mahdi Army. So, really, this is very deceptive. There's something of an improvement in security in Baghdad. A lot of this has to do with the fact there are no mixed areas left there, so Sunni and Shia don't really mix. We have a truce with the Madhi Army. But, you know, it's still a city which is the most dangerous in the world, and that's really what should get through to people outside Iraq.

JUAN GONZALEZ: I'd like to ask you—we have about a minute left—but the Pentagon and the White House have repeatedly claimed that Sadr and his followers are being supported by Iran and backed by Iran. Your sense of Iran's role in the battle now between the Shia-dominated government and the Muqtada forces?

PATRICK COCKBURN: It's always been exaggerated, as regards Muqtada, because the Sadrists and his family have always traditionally been anti-Iranian. Probably when the US started opposing them strongly, they thought, well, the enemy of our enemy is our friend, so they've been going to the Iranians, they get a certain amount of support from there. But, you know, I think that as soon as the US decided to overthrow Saddam Hussein, who was the great enemy of Iran, there was going to be an increase in Iranian influence in Iraq, and the Shia, who are 60 percent of the population, were going to take over from the Sunni. These things were going to happen and probably—and will still happen. So I think that imagining that one can stop them simply prolongs the violence there. And this idea that Muqtada and the Iraqi Shia are somehow all clones of Iran, I think is some of the most poisonous sentiments in the Middle East, because it sort of ratifies sectarian hatred. The Iraqi Shia have their own interests; sometimes they're backed by Iran, which is not too surprising, but they're not clones or pawns of Iran. But if they're treated as such, then they have to rely on Iranian support.

JUAN GONZALEZ: Well, we'll have to leave it there. Patrick Cockburn, we'll have to leave it there, but thank you very much for being with us. Patrick Cockburn, Iraq correspondent for the London Independent, latest book, Muqtada: Muqtada al-Sadr, the Shia Revival. He's covered the invasion and occupation from the government for the past five years.


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