Showing posts with label Jane Fonda. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jane Fonda. Show all posts

Monday, January 29, 2018

Jane Gets Respect



THE ABSURD TIMES


 
No reason for it, but he reminds me of Richard III


Jane gets Respect

We started to write a background for this interview in order to give it some context.  That turned out to be much longer than we anticipated and is still growing, but this interview needs to be posted now.

All that really need be said is that there was not much respect for Jane Fonda until she went to Vietnam at the time.  Also, it was after LBJ and during Nixon.  However, LBJ, Nixon, and Carter did not make much of an issue over the trip.at the time.  Another noteworthy thing is that Ford actually ended the Vietnam War, not Nixon.  Still, it wasn't until Ronnie Ray Gun that the term Hanoi Jane became such a big issue. 

Yes, we do have concern over the people we sent to Vietnam while our government has not.  Once they were in the military, they were property of the government and, as such, fairly well-supported, if not abused, but once they were discharged they were no longer the property of the Government.  They became people.  In our society, property is more protected than people.  But, let's not get into that right now, here is the interview:


AMY GOODMAN: This is Democracy Now!, democracynow.org, The War and Peace Report. I'm Amy Goodman. We're broadcasting from Park City, Utah, from the Sundance Film Festival, as we turn to the subject of a new HBO documentary premiering here at Sundance about another icon, maybe one of the most iconic and controversial actors in Hollywood. She's a girl next door, political activist, fitness tycoon, feminist, Academy Award-winning actress. I'm talking about Jane Fonda.
Filmmaker Susan Lacy examines Fonda's remarkable life in the documentary Jane Fonda in Five Acts. Fonda's acting career spans six decades and includes performances in such critically acclaimed films as KluteBarefoot in the ParkComing Home, and the current television series Grace and Frankie. But as actresses in Hollywood are being recognized for speaking out in the Time's Up movement, Jane Fonda has consistently challenged power, from opposing the war in Vietnam to organizing around civil rights and economic justice.
In one of her more controversial moves, Jane Fonda traveled to Hanoi in 1972 and appeared on several radio programs to speak out against U.S. military policy in Vietnam and beg American pilots to stop bombing civilian targets. During the trip, a photograph was taken of Jane Fonda seated on an anti-aircraft gun in Hanoi. The photo earned her the nickname "Hanoi Jane," which was resurrected just this week by NBCmorning show host Megyn Kelly, formerly of Fox News.
MEGYN KELLY: After all, this is a woman whose name is synonymous with outrage. Look at her treatment of our military during the Vietnam War. Many of our veterans still call her "Hanoi Jane," thanks to her radio broadcast, which attempted to shame American troops. She posed on an anti-aircraft gun used to shoot down our American pilots. She called our POWs "hypocrites" and "liars" and referred to their torture as "understandable."
AMY GOODMAN: Jane Fonda has repeatedly apologized for the photograph. In her 2005 memoir My Life So Far, Fonda says she remembers immediately regretting taking the photo. She writes, quote, "Oh, my God. It's going to look like I was trying to shoot down U.S. planes! … It was my mistake, and I have paid and continue to pay a heavy price for it."
Well, Jane Fonda also continues to speak out. I caught up with her after Saturday's Respect Rally here in Park City, after the premiere of the documentary about her life. In December, she celebrated her 80th birthday.
AMY GOODMAN: Jane Fonda, it's wonderful to be able to speak to you on Democracy Now!
JANE FONDA: I can't tell you how happy I am that we ran into each other and that I'm here with you right now.
AMY GOODMAN: Did you ever think this year would happen—
JANE FONDA: No.
AMY GOODMAN: —the #MeToo movement, the #TimesUp movement, President Trump being elected? Your thoughts?
JANE FONDA: Trump is a major negative energy. And when he moves out in the world, it releases positive energy from other people. So, in a way, there's something really good about it, because people are being enlivened, emboldened, activated, that never were before. We have an opportunity now to really, really make a difference, because people are recognizing what's at stake. It's never been this clear. You know, oftentimes you had to go to another country to see what could happen, but this is actually—our democracy is being threatened, and I think people are awoke.
AMY GOODMAN: And what about these movements, that so much involve people in your world, from Time's Up—we're talking Hollywood—
JANE FONDA: Yeah.
AMY GOODMAN: —and women saying they've had it—
JANE FONDA: Yeah.
AMY GOODMAN: —right down to domestic workers—
JANE FONDA: Yeah.
AMY GOODMAN: —to every walk of life, saying sexual abuse, sexual harassment, sexual misconduct is not acceptable?
JANE FONDA: I think it's—I didn't expect it, and I'm really deeply moved by it. You know, as I have said before, it was the fact that white—famous white women spoke out and were believed. Black women have been speaking out long before. The most noted, of course, is Anita Hill. But I have been in the meetings, and the women that make up the Time's Up movement are really—they're young. They're smart. They understand intersectionality. And this isn't going to go away. This is happening. It's a tipping point. It really is. We're living through a historic moment now.
AMY GOODMAN: How important is Hollywood in shaping views, the place where you have lived so much of your life?
JANE FONDA: Frankly, I don't think so much. I don't think Hollywood frames the news so much. I think, unfortunately, corporations, more and more, are framing the news. You know, I'm working with Restaurant Opportunities United in Michigan a lot, on the ground. And what scares me, as I travel through Michigan, is the degree to which average people are not getting news. The television stations, the radio stations are being bought up by Sinclair and others. And this is—it's really scary. And, you know, I think that corporations are determining what people hear. There are some exceptions, obviously—you know, you, MSNBC at night and others.
But that's why it's so important that people are on the ground talking to people door to door, you know, working within real organizations that have experience of doing this kind of door-to-door work. Because what have we learned? We've learned you can't say anything bad about Trump. You can't. You have to tell them something they don't already know. For example, we were canvassing in San Diego. A woman who had just lost her job, she had four children, one with a serious precondition, a mother. She was supporting them all. She was really scared, a 100 percent Trump supporter. Why? "Because he understands me. He's my people, and he's authentic." And so, the canvasser, who happens to be an actress, who plays my daughter in—my eldest daughter in Grace and Frankie, said to her, "Well, do you know that if Trump's healthcare package passes, your son will lose his precondition insurance coverage?" And the woman stopped breathing. And she didn't know that. And she flipped, right there.
And, you know, that, to me, is a dramatic example of how important it is that we find a way to keep real news reaching people. And it can't come from Hollywood or the Democratic Party, for that matter.
AMY GOODMAN: Now, you've gone back and forth—an actress, an activist—and you seem to traverse these worlds quite comfortably. You went to Standing Rock, to the standoff at Standing Rock. Why was that so important to you, the battle against the Dakota Access pipeline?
JANE FONDA: Well, I'm worried about the planet. I'm worried about—you know, all the scientists, who really know, say we cannot take any more oil or gas out of the ground. We have enough. We can do without. We can make the transition to renewables without drilling anymore. So, A, I knew it wasn't necessary. I knew that it didn't even make economic sense, because the price of oil had dropped so much.
But also, in 1970, I went to Alcatraz, when indigenous people from the Bay Area occupied Alcatraz. So, I was there. That was like the beginning of the American Indian Movement. All these young people, who had never—they didn't know their elders. They didn't know the Thomas Banyacyas—the great Hopi shaman. They didn't know about the traditions and the ceremonies. And Wilma Mankiller, who was the chief of the great Cherokee Nation, that was where she first connected with the elders.
And then, fast-forward to Standing Rock, and seeing the degree to which the traditional rituals and ceremonies have taken hold and have really saved lives meant so much to me. It was very, very moving to me to see that, and then also moving to me because, with all that us white Europeans have done to indigenous people, and just there's no end to the horrors and atrocities we've visited upon them, and yet they're still there trying to tell us how we have to do things differently. They're still hoping that they can have some influence to show us the way to go. They've never given up on us. It's so moving to me.
AMY GOODMAN: We're here at the Sundance Film Festival, and we just came from a premiere of the documentary about your life, Jane Fonda in Five Acts. And it talks about your early years as Barbarella in Hollywood and then that shift to activism. You just plunged into it, in your battle against the Vietnam War, supporting of Black Panthers. Talk about the transition you made.
JANE FONDA: It was—I was fortunate to be, at that time in my life, at a crossroads in history, when everything was changing. I mean, I was in France when a combination of worker and student uprisings almost toppled the de Gaulle government. And I was—my daughter was born a few months after that. There were things happening all over the world. Plus, I could—from France, I could look at television and see this robust movement in the United States standing up to the Pentagon and to the administrations.
And I'm my father's daughter, you know? I'm the daughter of Tom Joad and 12 Angry Men and all those—Abe Lincoln, those characters that he played. And I thought, "What am I doing? I should be there." And with the encouragement of Simone Signoret, I went. I left, and I went there.
AMY GOODMAN: And what did Henry Fonda, what did your father think about your activism?
JANE FONDA: Well, you know, dad, I love him so. You know, he had lived through the McCarthy era. He had seen careers destroyed. He was really scared for me. He didn't entirely understand. I would bring, you know, like Green Berets and grunt soldiers to talk to him about what their experience was in Vietnam. But he couldn't go where I was. You know, it was a generational thing, and he just didn't understand. And he was scared when I started to investigate the Black Panthers. And I went to visit Angela Davis when she was in jail. And it scared him to death, because he thought that I was going to fall victim to the same kind of witch hunting. But it wasn't the same. It was maybe greylisting, but it wasn't blacklisting. But whatever he said to me, which was pretty hard for me to take, came out of his love and fear for me.
AMY GOODMAN: You were very active in the antiwar movement with your then-husband Tom Hayden, well-known antiwar activist, with whom you had your son. We lost Tom, the whole country, recently, Tom Hayden. The significance of your activism there? And then, in the film, something I had not realized—I certainly knew about the Jane Fonda Workout tapes, and I knew about your activism, but did not understand that these Jane Fonda Workout tapes, that you did, actually funded the—what was it? The California Campaign?
JANE FONDA: California Campaign for Economic Democracy. Here's how it went. See, this was a statewide organization that made a huge difference in California. We elected people that are still serving in public office in California. And so we had to raise a lot of money, because we had a lot of chapters. And there was a recession. And I read an article that Lyndon LaRouche—that really bad, but very wealthy guy had a computer business that would fund people that would hold those signs at the airports and go into gay bars, and his people would beat gay people with chains and stuff like that. And I read an article that said that he supported all that with this computer business. And so, I thought, "OK, what business can I go into that could make money?" And it was the workout.
AMY GOODMAN: And so, what happened?
JANE FONDA: So I funded the Campaign for Economic Democracy.
JANE FONDA: And come up. Get on your hands and knees, weight evenly distributed on your hands. These are called "Rover's revenge."
JANE FONDA: We made a lot of money over the workout. And then, eventually, I bought the business back.
AMY GOODMAN: I mean, the book and the videos.
JANE FONDA: Yeah.
AMY GOODMAN: Talk about how much money we're talking about here. You blew everyone away.
JANE FONDA: Tens of millions.
AMY GOODMAN: How long were you on The New York Times best-seller list for?
JANE FONDA: Two years. Two solid years. That is what caused The New York Times to start separating it out into categories, because to have the workout book competing with, you know, Philip Roth or somebody didn't make any sense. And it must have been hard for Tom, you know. That was a difficult period for our marriage and for him.
AMY GOODMAN: Because?
JANE FONDA: I was an activist when we met me. We were together, arm in arm, on the road, doing this incredible Indochina peace campaign thing. And we really did help, although it's not in the Ken Burns documentary, but we did help end the war. And then the war ended, and I started the workout business, because we were starting this political organization. And the workout business kind of drove a wedge between us, and it was difficult. And also, I started to become more successful as an actor, so it took me away from him.
AMY GOODMAN: You talked about your antiwar activism, the trip you made to North Vietnam. You did something that you don't see a lot of politicians doing today. And you have said you felt sorry for one part of what you did back then. Can you explain the trip you took to North Vietnam?
JANE FONDA: Yes. I went to North Vietnam explicitly to stop the bombing of the dikes, which we had been told, by European diplomats that were in the North, was happening. We weren't, of course, getting it in the news. And I knew that that was catastrophic, because, you know, the North—North Vietnam, like Holland, is below sea level, and the dikes are made by the peasants by hand. They're earth. And if they're destroyed before the monsoon season, there was a great likelihood that people were going to drown and starve. And it had been proposed to Johnson, when he—Lyndon Johnson, and he said, "No, we can't do that. That's what Hitler did when he bombed Holland. We can't be responsible." But Nixon said, "Yes, let's do it." And so I wanted to go and expose that.
And I remember, you know, they gave me a—the North Vietnamese gave me a preliminary agenda. And on the agenda was visiting an anti-aircraft gun. And I said, "No, I don't want to do that. I don't want to visit that."
AMY GOODMAN: Because?
JANE FONDA: I didn't think it was appropriate. I was there by myself with—for two weeks. And the things that happened to me there, I mean, we couldn't put it all in the movie, but, I mean, just for—I don't know if we have time, but just let me just tell you one story—or two stories.
I was driving back with my translator in a car from a city that we had visited. It was an industrial city in North Vietnam that had been destroyed. And on the way back, the driver could hear that there were planes coming. And I couldn't hear yet, but they said, "Get out and run." And there are these manholes along the side of the road with kind of straw things that you put over. And a woman, a young girl, grabbed my arm. And she had schoolbooks with her. And she pulled me into a hole. I mean, I just—I went in. She pushed me in, and then she jumped in. These were made for one person, and we were like smooshed up against each other. She pulled the top over, and the ground started shaking as the bombs fell. I kept thinking, "This is not true. It's like it's—this is a dream. This isn't really happening."
And when it was over and the bombing stopped, she took the lid off, and I started to cry. And I said to my translator, I said, "Tell her I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry that we're doing this to your country." You know, she was maybe 15. And she said to me—at least I think she said to me—this came through a translator—"Don't be sorry. We know why we're fighting. Your"—I can't remember her exact words, but it was something like, "Your soldiers and pilots, they don't know why they are doing this. It's your tragedy, in a way," something like that. And it couldn't have been planned. It was just out in the middle of the country. So, that really brought me up short, this 15-year-old girl who's saying, "No, we know—we may lose people and soldiers, but we know why we're fighting. The tragedy is yours, because you don't even know why you're fighting." So that's one story, that just made me reel.
The other is, on the day before my last day, the last day being the day where I sat on that anti-aircraft gun, I was asked to look at a production of Arthur Miller's play All My Sons, performed on a platform outside, in Vietnamese. And it's a story about a factory owner who makes parts for bombers, and he has two sons. One of the sons is a pilot. And his son crashes. And the younger son knows that the reason—the father has known that his factory was making faulty parts for bombers, and he didn't speak up, because he didn't want to lose his government contract. And he's condemned by his younger son. So, OK, I see this play. I'm sitting next to the director. I said, "There's a war going on. Why are you taking this"—it was being toured through villages that had just been bombed.
AMY GOODMAN: Of North Vietnam.
JANE FONDA: North Vietnam villages that were being bombed. And they're taking this play by Arthur Miller. I said, "Why?" And he said, "We are a tiny country. One day we will have to be friends with you. Our people have to understand that there are bad Americans and there are good Americans." And I was—I don't—I was a changed person. The whole idea of friend-enemy, strength-weakness, was turned on its head.
And the next day, they said, "We're going to take you out to the ceremony." And I went, and it was—there were these soldiers standing, and they sang a song with the words that Ho Chi Minh had written when he made his address in the square in Hanoi. And his speech began, "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all people are created equal." This was in the words that they sang, because he had been a cook in Harlem, and so he knew about our Declaration of Independence. And these soldiers sang. And then they asked me to sing, and we were laughing and clapping.
And I sat down on that gun. And I just—I don't know. I was just out of my mind, basically. I was. I was out of my mind. I didn't think—it wasn't active. There were no planes or anything like that. I didn't even think what I was doing. And the minute I sat down, cameras went off, and I hadn't realized there was anybody with cameras. And as I was walking away, I realized, "Oh, my god! These pictures are going to make it look like I'm against my country and my soldiers." And I said, "Please, destroy those pictures." But, of course…
AMY GOODMAN: And so, you would come back to this country, and you faced a firestorm.
JANE FONDA: Yeah, but, see, here's—here's what's interesting. It wasn't that much of a firestorm in the beginning. There was only like an inch of press in The New York Times. And a few months later, we launched our Indochina peace campaign at the Ohio State Fair. No big deal! I mean, Nixon was very unhappy, and they did an investigation. And, you know, a guy from the State Department said, "She never committed treason. All she did was ask the soldiers to think."
It wasn't until Reagan that they realized how important it would be to use my huge mistake to make me, you know, a "Hanoi Jane," a traitor, you know, to hurt the peace movement. And that's what hurts me so much, is that it was bad for the peace movement, and it hurt the soldiers. So, it was a big mistake. Anyway.
AMY GOODMAN: Interestingly, today, with the longest war in U.S. history, Afghanistan and Iraq, a number of soldiers who come back from all of these places are condemning these wars and asking what the U.S. is doing. You don't usually hear those soldiers in the media.
JANE FONDA: Yeah. Well, just like you didn't hear those soldiers back in the day, or the POWs who spoke out and said, "No, we were not tortured." The Vietnamese ruled out torture in 1970, but you never heard from them. Nixon never allowed them to have a platform.
AMY GOODMAN: You just turned 80. What gives you hope today?
JANE FONDA: If I can change, anybody can change. I know—and now we see it all around us—the extent to which people can say, "Oh, my god! Our way of life, our value system is being turned on its head. We have to stand up and fight!" And that gives me tremendous hope. I think it can make a big difference. Sometimes you have to hit bottom. I have a lot of experience with alcoholism. You have to hit bottom before you can start to heal. We've hit bottom, and we're going to—we're going to come up from this.
AMY GOODMAN: In the film Jane Fonda in Five Acts, the last act is what you're talking about right now, in living your life, and particularly your life with your women friends. Talk about the importance of women.
JANE FONDA: Harvard did a medical study that showed that if you don't have women friends, it's as dangerous for your health as smoking. And I totally believe it. Women friends are different than men friends. I've studied it. There have been studies done. Women go deep, eye to eye, face to face. We drill down. Men tend not to. And it's sad, because it makes them more vulnerable in the long run. Friendships between women are lifesavers. I mean, you know, whether Pat Mitchell, Eve Ensler, all my—Paula—all my women friends make me strong and keep me going and inspire me so much. And so do you, you who got arrested at Standing Rock. I never did. You're so brave.
AMY GOODMAN: Well, that wasn't the intention. All we were doing was filming, and saw these guards unleash dogs—
JANE FONDA: Yeah, yeah.
AMY GOODMAN: —on the Standing Rock Sioux.
JANE FONDA: But it meant a lot, to all of us, that you were there.
AMY GOODMAN: So, Jane, what are you going on to do now, as you leave here?
JANE FONDA: Well, I'm doing a lot of things, but one of the things that I'm doing is, when I've spent time in the Central Valley of California or in all different parts of Michigan and I see how, little by little, local TV and radio stations are being bought up by the "alt-right," by the tea party, and that really scares me. You know, people aren't getting the information they need. And so, that's something that we have to fight and protect. We need a robust pipeline of real news, and then we have to get content in there. You know, all through the South, there's, you know, many, many hundreds, if not thousands, of black-owned TV stations and radio stations that operate on a dime and that, you know, need support and bolstering and reinforcing, and need content. And so, that has to happen.
And then, also, I've worked with restaurant workers. And one of the things that I've learned, that really points to the importance of what Time's Up is doing, restaurant workers on—the federal government says they can earn $2.13 an hour plus tips. Well, you can't live on that. And even in states where that low wage has been lifted a little bit, they're totally dependent on tips, so they have to not only tolerate, but even encourage, sexual abuse, because guys tip more that way. And these are often single women who are supporting families. There are seven states that don't have the two-tiered system, where waitresses earn the same minimum wage that other workers do. And in those seven states, sexual harassment dropped by 50 percent, which, to me, is this concrete example of why economic parity and decision-making parity is critical, if we want to do away with violence against women. So I'm working with ROC, Restaurant Opportunity Centers United.
AMY GOODMAN: Well, I want to thank you so much, Jane.
JANE FONDA: Thanks.
AMY GOODMAN: Happy birthday.
JANE FONDA: Thank you.
AMY GOODMAN: And looking forward to—despite the fact you said this is your last act, I'm looking forward to the next act.
JANE FONDA: OK. I'm looking for to your next act, too. Thanks, Amy.
AMY GOODMAN: That's Jane Fonda, political activist, feminist, two-time Academy Award-winning actress. The new film about her is called Jane Fonda in Five Acts.
This is Democracy Now! Back with Common.
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Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Assessing the "Field"

Click to find caption




Illustration: It's been awhile, but the above illustration is apt right now. Once Poll listed Kucinich as fourth in Hew Hampshire.

***********

I had been wondering whatever happened to Tom Hayden, below, as he evaluates the presidential candidates. He was one of the earliest in the SDS back in 1964-65 and played a supporting role in the Trail of the Chicago 8, er 7 after Bobby Seals, evn while handcuffed, and gagged, kept trying to represent himself in the absence of his attorney, Garry.

He later married Barberella who then married Ted Turner. She is better now.

*ZNet | U.S.*

*Rating The Presidential Candidates On Iraq

Another Agonizing Year Ahead*

*by Tom Hayden; November 06, 2007*

/TOM HAYDEN is the author of

Writings for a Democratic

Society, The Tom Hayden Reader, forthcoming from City L

ights Books. He has not

endorsed any candidate for president. /*

*

While most peace activists are evaluating the Democrats, I would

rank Rudolph *Giuliani as the most dangerous of all the

presidential candidates in a long while*, because his Iraq and

Iran policies are the work of the most hawkish

neo-conservatives who promoted the Iraq quagmire and now want to

bomb Iran as soon as possible. Though far better than Giuliani,

Sen. Joseph *Biden is the worst Democratic candidate because of

his demand that partition be imposed* on Iraq. The

front-running Democrat, Sen. Hillary *Clinton, is so ambiguous

on Iraq that she risks losing the general election by driving

enough of the progressive vote to inevitable third party

candidates. **

*Giuliani is advised by a network of neo-con hawks led by Norman

Podhoretz who call for a Cold War-type struggle against

"Islamofascism", the immediate bombing of Iran [_Commentary_,

June 2007], the right to assassinate the leaders of Iran and

North Korea, and the assumption that all American Muslims are

suspect. [NY Times]. They are a well-organized machine with

millions of dollars available to attack MoveOn and bankroll

campus campaigns against the new foreign enemy of Islamofascism,

which they believe can and must be militarily defeated.

Principled Democrats with single-digit support at present should

be considered as strong voices against the war, and possible

contributors to a long-term progressive movement, but not as

likely nominees. Among them, *Biden, who could become secretary

of state under a Democratic president, takes the most dangerous

position, favoring a de-facto breakup or partitioning of

Iraq, *with each religious group policing its own areas. That

would mean forced migration for millions of Iraqis from their

homes in Shi'a-dominated Basra, for example, to Sunni-dominated

Anbar province. *Sen. Chris Dodd*, while taking a strong

position against the confirmation of Bush's nominee for attorney

general, has been murky in his anti-war views during the

campaign. While supporting a 12-18 month pullout, he also wants

American troops redeployed away from major Iraqi cities to the

border regions and to Kurdistan, Kuwait, Qatar, and Afghanistan.

[speech Oct. 12, 2006]

*Bill Richardson, another candidate for a future cabinet

position, takes the cleanest position of all *on Iraq, promising

to remove all American troops within one year while launching

diplomatic efforts towards regional stability. And of

course, *Dennis Kucinich* is an anchor for the anti-war community.

*Among the current front-runners, John Edwards takes the

strongest anti-war position,* calling for an immediate troop

withdrawal of 40-50,000 US troops, a withdrawal of remaining

troops in 12-18 months, and diplomatic peace initiatives.

Edwards' position includes a significant loophole, however, for

"sufficient" US troops to remain in the region to prevent a

terrorist haven or ethnic genocide. Edwards also is on record

favoring the intensifying of training for Iraqi security forces.

[NYT, Feb. 26, 2007]

Sen. Barack *Obama's position has somewhat improved with its

latest nuances*. He favors a steady withdrawal taking 16 months.

[NYT, Nov. 2]. Backing away from open-ended support of American

trainers in the midst of a dirty sectarian war, Obama says he

would support trainers only if the Baghdad regime commits to

political reconciliation and reforms its sectarian police, an

almost impossible scenario to imagine. Further, Obama would not

allow American trainers to be placed "in harm's way." But he

also favors an unspecified number of American troops in the

region able to conduct "counter-terrorism" or return in the

"short term" to Iraq in the event of genocide against civilians.

Obama seems trapped between his tendency to build a "new center"

and the need to sharpen his differences over Iraq with Hillary

Clinton.

Obama correctly links a withdrawal plan with motivating other

countries to engage in regional stabilization: "Once it's clear

that we're not intending to stay there for 10 years or 20 years,

all these parties have an interest in figuring out how do we

adjust in a way that stabilizes the situation." And *Obama has

toughened his stand against escalating the conflict to

Iran.* Instead he would engage in "aggressive personal

diplomacy" including a promise to end bush's policy of regime

change in exchange for Iranian cooperation in regional stability.

Sen. Hillary *Clinton, the likely Democratic nominee at this

point, remains the most indecipherable of the candidates on

Iraq.* On the one hand, she pledges "to end the war" and has

voted against the Bush surge and in favor of a March 2008

withdrawal deadline for combat troops. She has suggested, but

not insisted on, cutting off funding for Iraqi security forces

and private contractors unless reforms by the Iraqi government

are guaranteed. [NYT, Feb. 26, 2007] On the other hand, she most

clearly favors leaving a large number of Americans, a "scaled

down force", in Iraq indefinitely to fight al-Qaeda, train the

Iraqi army, and resist Iranian encroachment. [NYT, Nov. 2,

2007]. She cast an unsettling hawkish vote to define the Iranian

Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist group, which may have

reflected her positioning for the November election, and has

telegraphed a message that Iraq is "right in the heart of the

oil region...[and] directly in opposition to our interests, to

the interests of the region, to Israel's interests." [NYT, Mar.

15, 2007]

*Clearly, anti-war opinion in the early primary states will be a

major factor determining the candidates' positioning*. Edwards

has put pressure on Obama and Clinton in Iowa and New Hampshire,

and Obama puts pressure on Clinton across the board. But Clinton

already is trending towards her general election platform

against another "vast right-wing conspiracy." In the short-term,

she wants to be positioned as sufficiently anti-war and leave

Edwards and Obama appearing more "extreme", which may be a

misreading of public opinion. The other Democratic candidates

will seek to appear more anti-war than Clinton because the issue

is their only way to gain traction with the multitudes of

anti-war voters in the primaries. Clinton depends on rallying

Democrats and independents to her side by contrasting herself

with Giuliani, Mitt Romney or John McCain. Whether that approach

can prevail, or seem too frustratingly evasive, remains to be

seen in the long campaign ahead.

If Clinton gains the nomination on an Iraq platform that

disappoints enough independents and Obama or Edwards

supporters, *a two-percent space will open for Ralph Nader

and/or Cynthia McKinney *to possibly make the difference in the

November election. Recent polls show Clinton in a virtual dead

heat with Giuliani among independent voters who otherwise lean

Democratic. If she refuses to take a more forthright stand on

Iraq, she may try returning to her domestic strength by arguing

that unlimited and wasteful Republican spending on Iraq will

prevent her from achieving national health care, a priority

issue for a majority of Americans where Giuliani is clearly on

the wrong side. As president, she could describe her slow troop

withdrawals as a peace dividend, a transfer of resources from

war to health care for veterans and all Americans.

Or worst case, her appearance of wobbling on Iraq/Iran could

reinforce a voter perception of such principled and

unpredictable opportunism that the Democrats could lose a close

election once again. #

/

TOM HAYDEN is the author of _Ending the War in Iraq_ [Akashic,

2007]. He has not endorsed any candidate for president. He is a

national board member of Progressive Democrats of America, and

the editorial board of the _Nation_ magazine. /